Aguilas del Lucero vs Union el Rastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+149%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguilas del Lucero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ADL
2 - 2
CDB
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CDA
1 - 1
ADL
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ADL
3 - 1
AVC
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ESC
3 - 4
ADL
47%
21%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ADL
0 - 2
LMJ
13%
16%
70%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Union el Rastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
URU
1 - 1
FER
62%
18%
20%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
URU
3 - 1
ALB
58%
19%
22%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ILV
4 - 5
URU
39%
22%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
URU
0 - 6
CDB
33%
21%
46%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDA
1 - 1
URU
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |