Aguilas del Lucero vs La Mutual Juan XXIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
70.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+149%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguilas del Lucero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAB
3 - 3
ADL
41%
21%
37%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ADL
3 - 1
PEU
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CDK
0 - 1
ADL
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ADL
2 - 4
PLA
34%
23%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UMN
4 - 0
ADL
57%
20%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
La Mutual Juan XXIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LMJ
4 - 3
FER
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LMJ
8 - 1
ILV
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CDB
1 - 3
LMJ
38%
21%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LMJ
1 - 2
CDA
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AVC
1 - 3
LMJ
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |