Águilas FC vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 0
CIE
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PIN
0 - 1
AGU
25%
24%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
10%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 3
AGU
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 2
JUM
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
5 - 1
MSM
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CIE
1 - 1
LOR
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 0
ABA
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PIN
3 - 0
LOR
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |