Águilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva analysis

Águilas FC Lorca Deportiva
46 ELO 34
-11.9% Tilt -28.5%
3847º General ELO ranking 5976º
119º Country ELO ranking 225º
ELO win probability
70%
Águilas FC
19.6%
Draw
10.4%
Lorca Deportiva

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
Águilas FC
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.4%
Win probability
Lorca Deportiva
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Águilas FC
+7%
+48%
Lorca Deportiva

Points and table prediction

Águilas FC
Their league position
Lorca Deportiva
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
58
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Águilas FC
70
70
100%
Lorca Deportiva
58
58
100%
CDU Malacitano
58
58
100%
Atlético Pulpileño
54
54
100%
Racing Murcia
52
52
100%
Unión Molinense
50
50
100%
Real Murcia Imperial
44
44
100%
Cieza
40
40
100%
UCAM Murcia B
39
39
100%
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
10º
35
35
10º
100%
El Palmar
11º
34
34
11º
50%
Caravaca
12º
31
34
12º
50%
Deportiva Minera
13º
30
30
13º
100%
Alcantarilla FC
14º
25
25
14º
100%
Muleño CF
15º
21
21
15º
100%
CD Bullense
16º
20
20
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Águilas FC
Lorca Deportiva
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Águilas FC
Lorca Deportiva
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Águilas FC
Águilas FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2023
MSM
Unión Molinense
0 - 1
Águilas FC
AGU
16%
24%
60%
46 23 23 0
29 Jan. 2023
AGU
Águilas FC
2 - 0
Atlético Pulpileño
PUL
73%
18%
9%
45 32 13 +1
22 Jan. 2023
EGP
El Palmar
0 - 3
Águilas FC
AGU
18%
24%
58%
45 24 21 0
15 Jan. 2023
AGU
Águilas FC
2 - 1
Alcantarilla FC
ALC
84%
12%
4%
45 22 23 0
08 Jan. 2023
BUL
CD Bullense
0 - 1
Águilas FC
AGU
12%
22%
66%
45 19 26 0

Matches

Lorca Deportiva
Lorca Deportiva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2023
LOR
Lorca Deportiva
1 - 1
Cieza
CIE
77%
14%
9%
34 24 10 0
29 Jan. 2023
LOR
Lorca Deportiva
1 - 0
Unión Molinense
MSM
78%
14%
8%
34 24 10 0
22 Jan. 2023
PUL
Atlético Pulpileño
0 - 5
Lorca Deportiva
LOR
49%
25%
27%
32 34 2 +2
15 Jan. 2023
LOR
Lorca Deportiva
1 - 1
El Palmar
EGP
76%
15%
10%
33 23 10 -1
07 Jan. 2023
ALC
Alcantarilla FC
1 - 1
Lorca Deportiva
LOR
21%
24%
55%
33 22 11 0