Águilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
EGP
1 - 2
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AGU
4 - 2
MIN
72%
17%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CHU
1 - 2
AGU
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 2
AGU
23%
23%
55%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
NUE
76%
15%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
4 - 0
MUL
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 3
ATB
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
EFA
1 - 2
LOR
25%
23%
53%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
PUL
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
ATB
4 - 0
LOR
76%
17%
8%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |