CD Águila vs CD Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
4º
3º
3
6º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 41 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 38 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
|
4º
|
5 | 37 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
5 | 37 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 36 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 33 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 30 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 24 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 22 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 21 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 19 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
96% | 21% |
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 79% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
MET
0 - 0
AGU
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 0
CDP
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AGU
0 - 1
FAS
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
FAS
1 - 2
AGU
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MUN
0 - 2
AGU
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
HER
1 - 1
FAS
24%
26%
50%
|
10 | 66 | 56 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 0
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | +1 |