Aguiar da Beira vs Salgueiros 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguiar da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GDP
2 - 0
AGU
23%
23%
55%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 2
AGU
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 3
GRI
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 2
AGU
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
UNI
17%
23%
61%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiros 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 0
GRI
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 0
SAL
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 0
UNI
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 2
SAL
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
SAL
4 - 2
SAM
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |