Aguiar da Beira vs Vila Cortez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
39.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguiar da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TMO
1 - 1
AGU
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
MAN
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 1
AGU
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
AGU
4 - 2
PIN
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 0
SOI
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VCO
2 - 1
RDA
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VCO
0 - 3
GIN
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VCO
2 - 4
FCC
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |