Aguia de Maraba vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 2
PAY
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
AGU
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
IND
3 - 0
AGU
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
TAP
83%
13%
5%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
REC
3 - 1
AGU
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
TOC
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
PAR
5 - 2
TOC
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -3 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 1
ARA
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TOC
5 - 2
TOC
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |