Água Santa vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
AGU
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
BRA
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAL
8%
20%
72%
|
63 | 90 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
AGU
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ITU
0 - 3
AGU
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
BOT
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
ITU
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 0
BOT
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |