Água Santa vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AGU
95%
4%
1%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
OES
1 - 0
AGU
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 2
SAO
37%
23%
40%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 0
AGU
47%
22%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AUD
1 - 2
AGU
52%
22%
26%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 3
COR
16%
26%
58%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
MOG
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 0
BOT
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 2
RBB
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
4 - 0
ITU
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +2 |