Água Santa vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
XVD
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
JUV
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
VOT
0 - 1
AGU
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 0
AGU
56%
23%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 0
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
BAT
1 - 0
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOM
2 - 0
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
GUA
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |