AD Estudiantil vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Estudiantil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SOF
3 - 2
AGR
44%
23%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIV
5 - 0
AGR
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
AGR
2 - 1
NOI
33%
27%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
AGR
3 - 1
SON
66%
21%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
AES
0 - 3
AGR
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ARZ
3 - 1
VIV
43%
24%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SON
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2017 |
LEM
1 - 1
ARZ
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 1
POL
51%
22%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 2
ARZ
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |