AD Estudiantil vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
51.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Estudiantil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 3
AGR
56%
23%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 0
STA
33%
26%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
AGR
29%
26%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 4
CDC
19%
24%
57%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIV
4 - 1
AGR
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 1
VIL
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DUB
2 - 1
ARZ
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SAR
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEM
1 - 2
ARZ
56%
21%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PUE
1 - 0
ARZ
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |