Agrupación Lucero Linces C vs AD Ferroviaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
83.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.2%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
MAN
4 - 1
FER
68%
16%
16%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
FER
3 - 1
CHA
82%
10%
8%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
GIM
8 - 1
FER
63%
18%
19%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
FER
1 - 4
CDB
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
PUL
2 - 2
FER
86%
8%
5%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |