Agricultores Guasave vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+159%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
9º
9º
25
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Agricultores Guasave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
ADG
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ADG
3 - 1
ZAC
15%
21%
64%
|
19 | 55 | 36 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
ADG
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
ADG
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ADG
2 - 0
LEO
10%
15%
74%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | +9 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CIM
3 - 0
TRI
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TDA
0 - 1
CIM
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 17 | 52 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CIM
3 - 0
RAF
66%
22%
13%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LCU
3 - 2
CIM
33%
28%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
CIM
19%
25%
57%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |