Agricola Borcea vs CSM Medgidia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
6º
5º
22
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 13 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 13 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Agricola Borcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BOR
0 - 1
DUN
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FET
1 - 1
BOR
8%
13%
80%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BOR
2 - 0
GLO
62%
19%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 3
MBU
12%
20%
68%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 1
BOR
23%
20%
58%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CSM Medgidia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
IMO
5 - 1
CSM
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
CSM
0 - 0
AXI
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
RGD
3 - 2
CSM
72%
16%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 1
BOR
23%
20%
58%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
CSM
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |