AGOVV Apeldoorn vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
FEY
4 - 0
APE
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 0
APE
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
APE
0 - 0
EIN
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ALM
4 - 1
APE
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
APE
0 - 4
ZWO
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
4 - 2
WIL
30%
23%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 2
TEL
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
FCE
0 - 2
WIL
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 1
MVV
42%
25%
34%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
FCD
3 - 2
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |