AGOVV Apeldoorn vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
APE
6 - 1
FCE
54%
21%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
3 - 2
APE
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
APE
2 - 3
BOS
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 1
APE
80%
14%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
WIL
5 - 0
APE
79%
14%
8%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
MVV
27%
25%
49%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 1
EXC
65%
20%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 0
TEL
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
GRA
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
BVO
3 - 2
EXC
74%
16%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |