AGOVV Apeldoorn vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
VOL
0 - 1
APE
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
BVO
1 - 1
APE
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
APE
1 - 1
GAE
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
APE
1 - 0
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
APE
0 - 0
HEL
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
EXC
4 - 1
VOL
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
EXC
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
RBC
0 - 2
EXC
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
GAE
1 - 0
EXC
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
EXC
4 - 1
FCE
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |