AGOVV Apeldoorn vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
FCO
0 - 1
APE
54%
23%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
1 - 3
APE
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2006 |
FCE
3 - 0
APE
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
APE
1 - 4
EIN
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2006 |
APE
1 - 1
BVV
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
BOS
0 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
BVV
2 - 1
EXC
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
FCD
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2006 |
MVV
0 - 0
EXC
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
VOL
0 - 0
EXC
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |