AGOVV Apeldoorn vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
46.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
APE
2 - 0
HEL
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
GAE
2 - 1
APE
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
APE
0 - 2
HER
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
FOR
3 - 1
APE
31%
26%
44%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
APE
9 - 2
SDC
87%
10%
3%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 1
TEL
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
BVV
2 - 3
EXC
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 3
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
VVV
2 - 0
EXC
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
EIN
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |