AGOVV Apeldoorn vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
EIN
1 - 1
APE
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
TEL
0 - 0
APE
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
APE
3 - 0
MVV
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
HER
2 - 4
APE
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
APE
1 - 2
FCO
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 1
TEL
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 2
FCD
76%
15%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
GAE
2 - 3
EXC
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 1
VVV
69%
17%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
FCE
0 - 0
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |