Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
AGF Aarhus vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
AGF
2 - 3
BRE
73%
14%
13%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
AGF
27%
21%
52%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1961 |
AGF
1 - 4
SLB
34%
23%
43%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 1
AGF
82%
11%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
FFK
0 - 1
AGF
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1965 |
VST
3 - 1
SLB
27%
21%
52%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1965 |
VST
2 - 0
SCP
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1965 |
SCP
1 - 1
VST
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
VST
2 - 2
SCP
43%
23%
34%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
SAL
0 - 1
VST
32%
23%
45%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |