AGF Aarhus vs Vejle BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
8º
3º
13
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BIF
0 - 1
AGF
54%
22%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
AGF
4 - 0
SON
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 2
AGF
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 1
MID
30%
25%
46%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 2
AGF
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vejle BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
VEJ
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
VEJ
0 - 1
FCN
22%
25%
54%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BIF
2 - 1
VEJ
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VEJ
2 - 3
RAN
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
OBK
2 - 5
VEJ
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |