AGF Aarhus vs Vejle BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
7º
5º
19
10º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
AGF
2 - 3
MID
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
AGF
0 - 0
VFF
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
AGF
2 - 1
ACH
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 2
AGF
24%
23%
53%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
WEI
1 - 1
AGF
11%
18%
72%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vejle BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VEJ
1 - 4
VEN
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 1
VEJ
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
OBK
2 - 1
VEJ
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HIL
1 - 2
VEJ
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
VEJ
1 - 0
HVI
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |