AGF Aarhus vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
39%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1957 |
SEV
4 - 0
AGF
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1957 |
GLE
0 - 3
AGF
45%
21%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
AGF
0 - 0
GLE
60%
18%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1956 |
NIC
5 - 1
AGF
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1956 |
AGF
1 - 1
NIC
51%
21%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ZAR
3 - 3
SEV
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1957 |
SEV
4 - 0
AGF
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
SEV
2 - 2
ATM
61%
19%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
CEL
3 - 1
SEV
36%
23%
41%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
SEV
0 - 1
ESP
70%
17%
14%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |