AGF Aarhus vs Roskilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AGF
2 - 2
SKI
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AKA
0 - 1
AGF
23%
24%
54%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
AAB
3 - 3
AGF
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 2
AGF
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
BRØ
1 - 2
AGF
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ROS
1 - 0
VEN
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
ROS
0 - 1
HBK
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 3
ROS
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ACH
1 - 2
ROS
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
SKI
1 - 0
ROS
55%
23%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |