AGF Aarhus vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
2º
41
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 2
AGF
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 0
OBK
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 2
AGF
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
AGF
2 - 0
ACH
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 1
SIF
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AAB
0 - 1
RAN
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 2
AGF
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VFF
2 - 2
RAN
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 0
LYN
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
OBK
0 - 0
RAN
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |