Danish Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-3
AGF Aarhus vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 0
AGF
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BIF
1 - 1
AGF
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
AGF
1 - 1
RAN
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
B93
2 - 1
AGF
8%
15%
77%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MID
0 - 1
AGF
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
FCK
2 - 1
RAN
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
RAN
2 - 1
FCK
30%
27%
44%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
AGF
1 - 1
RAN
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
RAN
3 - 1
VEJ
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
RAN
1 - 2
LYN
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |