AGF Aarhus vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SON
0 - 3
AGF
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OBK
1 - 2
AGF
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
AAF
0 - 3
AGF
21%
22%
57%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
AGF
2 - 2
SON
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
AGF
3 - 2
MID
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RAN
2 - 1
MID
26%
25%
48%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RAN
3 - 2
BIF
35%
28%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
NAE
1 - 2
RAN
19%
22%
59%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FCN
1 - 1
RAN
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AAB
4 - 0
RAN
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |