AGF Aarhus vs Nordsjaelland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
6º
6º
46
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 1
AAB
45%
24%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
VEJ
3 - 2
AGF
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 1
VFF
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
RAN
1 - 1
AGF
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
AGF
4 - 0
AAB
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
LYN
1 - 0
FCN
19%
24%
58%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
FCN
3 - 1
VEJ
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
MID
2 - 1
FCN
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
AAB
1 - 2
FCN
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
FCN
3 - 2
SON
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |