AGF Aarhus vs Nordsjaelland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
2º
55
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
AGF
3 - 0
VFF
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 1
AGF
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AGF
0 - 0
FCK
18%
23%
59%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BIF
1 - 0
AGF
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
VFF
0 - 1
AGF
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 2
FCK
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
FCK
5 - 3
FCN
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 1
AGF
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 2
FCK
29%
24%
46%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VFF
1 - 0
FCN
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |