AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
AGF
2 - 1
ACH
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 0
VEJ
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
AGF
2 - 3
BIF
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
FCN
2 - 0
AGF
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 3
RAN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
MID
2 - 3
RAN
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
MID
2 - 0
SIF
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
MID
3 - 2
RAN
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
BIF
1 - 2
MID
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 1
MID
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |