AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
4º
28
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 0
AGF
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AGF
3 - 1
AAB
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SIF
1 - 0
AGF
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
AGF
2 - 3
FCN
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
VAT
0 - 8
AGF
4%
10%
86%
|
74 | 28 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
MID
2 - 2
FEY
25%
23%
52%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MID
1 - 1
VFF
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MID
2 - 1
FCK
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
MID
5 - 1
LAZ
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 1
MID
27%
24%
49%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |