AGF Aarhus vs Lyngby BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
4º
16
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
OBK
1 - 2
AGF
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AGF
0 - 0
RAN
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
AGF
3 - 1
VFF
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
BIF
1 - 0
AGF
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
SON
2 - 1
AGF
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lyngby BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
LYN
3 - 3
MID
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
FCN
2 - 1
LYN
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 0
LYN
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
LYN
2 - 2
SIF
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
LYN
2 - 1
HBK
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |