AGF Aarhus vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BIF
0 - 0
AGF
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AGF
1 - 1
FCN
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FCK
0 - 0
AGF
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
AAB
0 - 2
AGF
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
AGF
0 - 2
SIF
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
MID
4 - 1
ACH
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 1
KBK
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LYN
1 - 2
ACH
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
BIF
0 - 1
ACH
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 2
ACH
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |