AGF Aarhus vs Herfølge BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
FCK
1 - 1
AGF
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
AGF
2 - 1
MID
44%
24%
31%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
BKF
1 - 2
AGF
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
AGF
3 - 1
AKA
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
VFF
4 - 0
AGF
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Herfølge BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
HER
1 - 3
BIF
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ESB
2 - 0
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
HER
3 - 3
AAB
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
FCN
1 - 1
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
HER
2 - 2
OBK
34%
24%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |