Europa League 1/16
Global 1-1
AGF Aarhus vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1997 |
AAF
1 - 2
AGF
15%
22%
63%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1997 |
AGF
0 - 3
BIF
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
AGF
1 - 1
LYN
63%
20%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1997 |
NAN
0 - 1
AGF
58%
23%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
IKA
1 - 3
AGF
29%
25%
45%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
TWE
1 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
TWE
2 - 0
GRO
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1997 |
LSK
1 - 2
TWE
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
TWE
1 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
SCH
2 - 1
TWE
42%
25%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |