AGF Aarhus vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
HFK
2 - 2
AGF
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
AGF
4 - 0
AAB
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
OBK
0 - 4
AGF
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
AGF
0 - 3
FCK
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2001 |
LYN
0 - 1
AGF
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2001 |
KOR
1 - 2
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
CEL
5 - 1
FCK
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
NKO
4 - 0
CEL
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
CEL
3 - 1
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
GOR
2 - 1
CEL
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |