AGF Aarhus vs Brøndby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
6º
6º
62
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
58 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
63 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 0
FCN
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AGF
0 - 1
MID
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SIF
2 - 2
AGF
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCN
2 - 3
AGF
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 0
HVI
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
BIF
1 - 1
SIF
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 2
BIF
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BIF
4 - 1
SIF
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VFF
1 - 2
BIF
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BIF
1 - 1
VEJ
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |