AGF Aarhus vs Brøndby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
2º
44
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 3
AGF
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FCK
4 - 3
AGF
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 1
FCN
29%
26%
44%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AGF
3 - 0
VFF
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 1
AGF
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
BIF
5 - 1
FCN
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VFF
1 - 1
BIF
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BIF
1 - 3
FCK
24%
24%
51%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 3
BIF
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
BIF
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |