AGF Aarhus vs Brøndby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
4º
30
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 1
AGF
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
AKA
0 - 3
AGF
17%
21%
62%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AGF
0 - 1
MID
21%
24%
55%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 0
AGF
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AGF
3 - 1
AAB
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
4 - 0
BIF
17%
21%
62%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BIF
1 - 1
FCK
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RAN
2 - 3
BIF
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BIF
3 - 3
LYN
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VFF
0 - 0
BIF
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |