UCL Quarter-finals
Global 2-7
AGF Aarhus vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
43.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 1
AGF
82%
11%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
FFK
0 - 1
AGF
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
AGF
3 - 0
FFK
38%
22%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 1960 |
WAR
1 - 0
AGF
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1960 |
AGF
3 - 0
WAR
50%
21%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
SLB
4 - 1
FAB
89%
8%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 1
AGF
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
LGC
1 - 2
SLB
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
SLB
7 - 2
ATL
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
LEX
0 - 3
SLB
15%
18%
67%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |