AGF Aarhus vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
4º
15
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SIF
1 - 0
AGF
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
AGF
2 - 3
FCN
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
VAT
0 - 8
AGF
4%
10%
86%
|
74 | 28 | 46 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 1
AGF
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MID
0 - 2
AGF
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AAB
1 - 1
LYN
52%
25%
22%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MID
0 - 2
AAB
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 0
AAB
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AAB
2 - 1
BIF
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
AAB
0 - 0
FCN
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |