Danish Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-2
AGF Aarhus vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AGF
0 - 2
RAN
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
AAB
0 - 2
AGF
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SON
2 - 2
AGF
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AGF
1 - 1
HOB
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
AAB
2 - 2
AGF
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AAB
1 - 2
SON
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
AAB
0 - 2
AGF
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
HOB
0 - 2
AAB
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
ROS
0 - 4
AAB
12%
17%
71%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
AAB
1 - 0
FCN
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |