AGF Aarhus Reservas vs Viborg Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
53.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
11º
8º
7
8º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 13 |
2º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
32% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 6 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
3 - 3
AGF
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
ESB
2 - 1
AGF
46%
21%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
AGF
0 - 3
RAN
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
OBR
1 - 1
AGF
33%
22%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
AGF
1 - 2
SIL
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Viborg Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2022 |
VIB
1 - 2
VEL
72%
16%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
SON
1 - 2
VIB
51%
23%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 1
VIB
30%
22%
49%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 5
VIB
31%
22%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
VIB
3 - 1
HOR
55%
20%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |