AGF Aarhus II vs Varde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
AGF
0 - 3
THI
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
VAN
1 - 1
AGF
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
AGF
4 - 3
JAM
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
FYN
3 - 2
AGF
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
AGF
3 - 1
ESB
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
VAR
1 - 5
HOL
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
THI
1 - 0
VAR
74%
16%
9%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
VAR
1 - 3
HOB
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
VAN
1 - 0
VAR
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
VAR
7 - 3
LFA
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +3 |