AGF Aarhus II vs Randers Freja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
ESB
1 - 0
AGF
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
AGF
3 - 0
NAS
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SKI
1 - 2
AGF
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
AGF
2 - 2
ODE
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
JAM
3 - 1
AGF
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Randers Freja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
RAN
2 - 3
HOB
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SVE
1 - 3
RAN
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
RAN
5 - 0
VAR
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
AAF
1 - 2
RAN
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
RAN
3 - 0
VEN
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |