Şagadam vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BFT
2 - 1
AGA
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 0
KAS
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 0
AGA
73%
16%
12%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AGA
3 - 1
AGA
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
5 - 1
AGA
69%
17%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KAS
0 - 1
MER
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
AGA
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AHA
2 - 0
MER
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
5 - 0
MER
76%
15%
10%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
BFT
30%
24%
47%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |